Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Forex Price Movement

I often see forex expert advisor software or forex robots, which claim they can make huge gains by applying complex mathematical algorithms, to make the user huge profits - but do they work and which are the best? Let's find out...

The first point to make is what has complex mathematics got to do with Forex Trading?

The answer is nothing at all - because forex markets do NOT move to science and certainties, they move only on probabilities. Some explanation will make this clearer and will show you why these so called expert systems always lose.

Consider this fact:

50 years ago 95% of traders lost and has the ratio changed today? The answer is no it hasn't.

This means that all the advances we have seen in computer processing power, forecasting and data speed, has made no difference to the ratio of winners.

Now we get astounded by the way science conquers problems in our lives and changes them for the better, in terms of - fighting disease, to transporting us around and this makes us feel that science and complexity, can conquer the Forex markets and make us more successful - but it can't and never will.

As we have just said, you cannot apply complexity and science to a market that is not scientific!

Keep in mind the ratio of winners to losers has not changed with the advances and that proves complexity and science, are of no help in terms of making you win.

Forex markets are the same as playing poker, you cannot ever guarantee you will win all the time - but if you trade the odds, you can win and make a lot of money, its not about being clever or perfection, its about making money.

In Forex, keeping it simple, gives you more chance of success, as a simple forex trading systems, are more robust in the face of brutal changing market conditions.

You may say - that's fine - but I have seen the track records of expert advisors and they make money.

No they don't!

The track records of most of the expert advisors are ridiculous, in terms of the profits they make and the only reason they make them is because the track record is not real, it's a back tested simulation! The vendor has all the price history and simulates backwards and buys and sells knowing where all the highs and lows are!

How hard is that?

Not very hard at all if you think about it, we can all be millionaires if we knew tomorrow's closing price today - but in real life we dont, we have to trade without knowing and that's far more difficult.

If you want to win at Forex - forget about science and complexity and think about simplicity and trading the odds and you will be on the right track to becoming a successful Forex trader.

Sunday, November 16, 2008

Automated Forex Bot

Augment Your Forex Profit With Automated Forex Bot

To increase the profit in Forex trading, technology has come to help in a big way. One of these methods that are widely used is the automated Forex bot. This technological marvel is actually a virtual robot used to handle the Forex accounts.

One does not have to enroll in some financial class to learn the skill in Forex trading. The bot takes charge of all the trading round the clock for you. Hence you actually do not miss any trading that brings you money. The Forex bot does this when you are busy with some other works as the bot monitors all the trading status.

The automated Forex bot is available could be bought for a price of around hundred bucks, though the returns that accrue are higher compared to the investment made. You can also try out the free demo account to know about the product in detail. If one is not satisfied with the product, there is a 60 day guarantee period, within which the product can be returned and get the money back.

There is an increase usage of auto foreign trading in the exchange market. This is so as the method used is more accurate and the reliability is equally good. All these could be availed as you do other important work. It is wise to get one for you and be in sync with the technological advances.

There are three things that must be considered while looking for automated forex trading software. These are Accuracy, Ease of Use and Customer Service. With an accurate signal generator, one can make lots of money if the machine is used correctly. The generator can be used to predict the result of certain forex pairs in future after an analysis of the trends as well as shifts taking place in the market. Hence, one must try to get the best signal generator available in the market. Most of the publishers of software also provide free updates on a regular basis after the purchase of the software. This helps in getting precise tips on the market trend. It is advisable to read some comparison reviews before buying one for you.


The Ease of Use means to know the ease with which the program could be used. This could be learnt from the website of the publisher. One must look for the user friendliness of the software. The software must have an accurate signal generator along with basic stop loss. It must also take the profit features of Forex trading.

The Customer service of the software company could be determined by sending an e-mail to them and look for the response time. Normally, the response time could be between 1 to 3 hours. This is also a reflection of the reputation of the company for being concerned about your business and the way they keep the customer happy. Again, though there will not be any problem with the program, however, if some problem does crop up, you can be sure that your comment and complaint will be swiftly dealt with in an effective manner.

Friday, November 14, 2008

Best Forex Patterns And Forecast Methods

Technical analysis and fundamental analysis differ greatly, but both can be useful forecasting tools for the forex trader. They have the same goal - to predict a price or movement. The technician studies the effects, while the fundamentalist studies the cause of the forex market movements. Successful Forex Traders combine both approaches for the best results.

Note: If both fundamental analysis and technical analysis point to the same direction, your chances for profitable trading are much better.

So let us begin with the technical analysis:

Technical and Fundamental Analysis differ significantly, but both are extremely useful forecasting tools for forex trading. They have the same goal - to predict a price or movement. The technician studies the result, while the fundamentalist studies the why of the forex market movements. Many successful traders combine a mixture of both approaches for the best results.

Technical analysis is a method of predicting price movements and future market trends by studying what has occurred in the past using charts (discussed in another article). Technical analysis is concerned with what has actually happened in the market, rather than what should happen, and takes into account the price of instruments and volume of trading, and creates charts from that data as a primary tool for forecasting forex trading movement. One major advantage of technical analysis is that experienced analysts can follow many markets and market instruments simultaneously.

Technical analysis is built on three essential principles

- Market actions discounts most everything: This means that the actual price is dictated by everything that is known to the market that could affect it. Some of these factors are fundamentals (inflation, interest rates, etc.), supply and demand, political factors (yes even the upcoming elections can be a factor) and market sentiment. But, the pure technical analysis is only concerned with price movements, not with the reasons for any change. - Prices move in trends: Technical analysis is used to identify patterns of market behavior that have long been recognized as significant. For most patterns, and trends there is a high probability that they will produce the results that were expected.

There are also recognized patterns that repeat themselves on a consistent basis. - History repeats itself: Forex chart patterns have been recognized and categorized for over 100 years, and the manner in which many patterns are repeated leads to the conclusion that human psychology changes little over time. Since patterns have worked well in the past, it is assumed that they will continue to work well into the future.

Disadvantages of technical analysis

- Some critic claim that the Dow approach ("prices are not random") is quite weak, since today's prices do not necessarily project future prices; - The critics claim that signals about the changing of trends appear too late, often after the change had already taken place.

Therefore, traders who rely on technical analysis react too later, hence losing about 1/3 of the fluctuation; - Analysis made in short time intervals may be exposed to "noise", and may result in a misreading of market directions; - The use of most patterns has been widely publicized in the last several years.

Most successful traders know these patterns and often act on them slowly in concern. This creates a self-fulfilling prophecy, as waves of buying or selling are created in response to "bullish" or "bearish" patterns.

Advantages of Technical Analysis

- Technical analysis can be used to project movements of any asset available for trade in the capital market; - Technical analysis focuses on what is currently occurring in the forex market, as opposed to what has occurred, and is therefore valid at any price level at any time; - The technical approach concentrates on prices, which neutralizes external factors.

Pure technical analysis is based on objective tools (charts, tables) while disregarding emotions and other factors; - Signaling indicators sometimes point to the imminent end of a trend, maintain profit or minimize losses.

Various techniques and terms you will want to know

Many different techniques and indicators can be used to follow and predict trends in markets. The objective is to predict the major components of the trend: its direction, its level and the timing. Some of the most widely known include:

- Bollinger Bands - a range of price volatility named after John Bollinger, who invented them in the 1980s. They evolved from the concept of trading bands, and can be used to measure the relative height or depth of price.

A band is plotted two standards deviations away from a simple moving average. As standard deviation is measured of volatility, Bollinger Bands adjust themselves to market conditions. When the market becomes more volatile, the bands spread wider (move further away from the average), and during less volatile periods, the bands tighten (move closer to the average).

Ballinger Bands are one of the most popular technical analysis techniques used by traders. The closer the prices move to the upper band, the more overbought is the market, and the closer prices move to the lower band, the more oversold is the market. Get more details by clickling the link in the resource box below.

Tuesday, November 11, 2008

Create Fantastic Wealth From Forex Trading

If you search on the internet you’ll find millions of investment programs such as real estate, stock trading, bond trading, mutual funds, CDs, auction programs and various internet programs.

I have not done many internet income opportunities or programs or affiliate programs because I had been lucky to discover a very easy way to make money through forex trading, (Foreign currency trading) safely on the internet.

Perhaps you know about only stock trading or bond trading which are common, but not forex trading.

Forex trading is the most profitable and attractive internet income opportunity because you can do it from home or office and from any country in the world.

In forex trading, you don’t need to do any marketing or selling or internet promotion to succeed.

In forex trading, you don’t need to spend thousands of dollars to do any internet promotion.

In forex trading, you don’t need any stocks or warehousing.

In forex trading , all that you’ve to do is open an account with one of the brokers with as little as $300 or $2000.

Then follow simple instructions to buy and sell the currencies.

When the price of the currency is low, you buy.

In a few seconds or minutes, the price will go up, and you sell it and make a profit.

By so doing , in a day, you can easily make $500-$1000 by just buying, selling and trading these foreign currencies for about 3 or 4 hrs!

And get this:

You don’t even have to be stuck sitting behind your computer buying and selling these foreign currencies.

You can enter all your buy trades and specify the sell prices you desire and then log off.

Whenever the values of these foreign currencies rise and your selling prices reach, the currencies will be automatically sold for you and you make money!

You can do forex trading and at the same time keep your day job, because in forex trading, there is no work to do.

In the future when you have made hundreds of thousands of dollars, you may then quit your job and just keep doing currency forex trading forever and go on permanent vacation!

To understand the beauty of forex trading Picture this:

In the morning, you get up from sleep at 6 am.

You go to your bathroom and have your shower.

At 7am, you hurry and eat your breakfast.

At 7.20 am, you login into your forex trading account on the internet and spend 10 minutes to buy about 3 or 4 different currencies, [for example British Pound, Euro, CHF (Swiss Currency) and Yen (Japanese currency).

You can specify the price at which you wish to sell each currency.

Then you can log off.

By 9 am, you’re at work in your office or business place.

You do your job as usual and by 5 pm, you’re finished and heading home.

When you get back home around 6.30 pm, you login into your forex trading account to see how much money you’ve made.

Holy Molly, there in your account it says you have made $750!

“Is this for real?”, you wonder…

Yes, it is. (Your eyes are not deceiving you…)

$750 in a day for just clicking your mouse twice and doing no work?

(Whereas at your job, you work 8 hrs, but make only probably $150..)

This is how easy it is to make money from forex trading.

But before you use real money to open a live forex trading account, you have to open a free trial (demo) forex trading account and practice first, to understand how it works and to acquire the right skills.

This free demo (trial) forex trading account (forex simulation trading) will help you to reduce a lot of risks that can lead to loss.

In forex trading, you can choose how much money to invest, how much money to make and when to make it.

You can make money daily, 365 days all year from forex trading.

Your computer can be transformed into an “ATM” machine that cranks out cash for you daily (without large investment or hassles) from forex trading.

In forex trading, you can choose what type of risk you can manage, when to invest and when not to invest.

In forex trading, you’re the boss. You may do as you please.

When forex trading is compared to other investment programs such as stock trading, bond trading, mutual funds, real estate and regular business, it is evident that forex trading is the fastest and greatest way to make money in the world.

Forex trading is a 2.5 trillion dollars daily business and it is larger than all the stock trading in the world combined.

These are some of the reasons why I believe that forex trading is the fastest and best way to create fantastic wealth.

Perhaps from reading this article you’ll now come to know why forex trading is the secret behind the greatest wealth on earth and why it has been kept hidden from the average people of the world and therefore little known to the masses.

May these forex trading insights open your eyes to the possibility of infinite wealth and success that can be yours from forex trading.

Sunday, November 9, 2008

The Forex Heatmap gives a spot forex trader an easy-to-interpret forex data visualization tool that organizes the data from 20 currency pairs into color-coded results for fast and accurate entry decisions.

The majority of forex traders don’t know the condition of the market when they enter a spot forex trade.

There are two reasons for this. The first one is ignorance. Most forex traders trade one pair like the EUR/USD and are looking at off-the-shelf standard technical indicators on one timeframe. They continuously force trades into the EUR/USD when there is no trade there at all. In the meantime other pairs are moving hundreds of pips, they simply cannot see the larger picture.

The second reason is that once a forex trader has decided that they to want to know the condition of the entire forex market when they enter a trade, or that they want to trade the best currency pair available, they see that it is not possible because up to now there were no good quality market forex scanners are available. When a forex trader searches for such a tool that gives them a picture of the market they find that a tool like this may not exist.

This is where the Forex Heatmap enters the picture. The Forex Heatmap quickly and conveniently verifies your entry decision into a spot forex trade across 20 pairs. Trading accuracy improves dramatically and you will also know when to NOT enter a trade.

Typically at the point of entry the spot forex trader must worry about placing the trade and making sure that the correct pair and direction are entered on the trading execution platform while watching a price chart. There simply is not time to click on the charts from many pairs to verify the entry decision or the overall market condition and this is where mistakes happen and emotion takes over. Traders need a quick entry verification tool that streamlines the entry decision process and speed is critical.

The Forex Heatmap solves all of these problems. It is a dynamic visual tool that consolidates the data from 20 currency pairs using real time data and translates the data into a visual map. When you combine the Forex Heatmap with a simple trading plan, knowledge of support and resistance, parallel and inverse analysis, and the direction of the trend you now have a powerful combination of high quality analytical and decision making tools for trading. Emotional trading gives way to logical trading. The full potential of 20 currency pairs is now yours not just the one or two currency pairs you have focused on in the past.

Heatmap technology is becoming more common in business, financial and technology, and the Forex Heatmap is leading the way to create successful spot forex traders.

Date With Forex Trading Lingo

Major and Minor Currencies
The seven most frequently traded currencies (USD, EUR, JPY, GBP, CHF, CAD, and AUD) are called the major currencies. All other currencies are referred to as minor currencies. Do not worry about the minor currencies, they are for professionals only. Actually, on this site we will only be covering what we call the Fab Five (USD, EUR, JPY, GBP, and CHF). These pairs are the most liquid and are the only currencies we actually trade.

Cross Currency
A cross currency is any pair in which neither currency is the U.S. dollar. These pairs exhibit erratic price behavior since the trader has, in effect, initiated two USD trades. For example, initiating a long (buy) EUR/GBP is equivalent to buying a EUR/USD currency pair and selling a GBP/USD. Cross currency pairs frequently carry a higher transaction cost. The three most frequently traded cross rates are EUR/JPY, GBP/EUR, and GBP/JPY.

Base Currency
The base currency is the first currency in any currency pair. It shows how much the base currency is worth as measured against the second currency. For example, if the USD/CHF rate equals 1.6350, then one USD is worth CHF 1.6350. In the Forex markets, the U.S. dollar is normally considered the “base” currency for quotes, meaning that quotes are expressed as a unit of $1 USD per the other currency quoted in the pair. The primary exceptions to this rule are the British pound, the Euro, and the Australian dollar.

Quote Currency
The quote currency is the second currency in any currency pair. This is frequently called the pip currency and any unrealized profit or loss is expressed in this currency.

Bid Price
The bid is the price at which the market is prepared to buy a specific currency pair in the Forex market. At this price, the trader can sell the base currency. It is shown on the left side of the quotation.

For example, in the quote EUR/USD 1.2812/15, the bid price is 1.2812. This means you can sell on U.S. dollar for 1.2812 Euros.

Ask Price
The ask is the price at which the market is prepared to sell a specific currency pair in the Forex market. At this price, you can buy the base currency. It is shown on the right side of the quotation.

For example, in the quote EUR/USD 1.2812/15, the ask price is 1.2815. This means you can buy one U.S. dollar for 1.2815 Euros. The ask price is also called the offer price.

Bid/Ask Spread
The spread is the difference between the bid and ask price. The “big figure quote” is the dealer expression referring to the first few digits of an exchange rate. These digits are often omitted in dealer quotes. For example, the USD/JPY rate might be 118.30/118.34, but would be quoted verbally without the first three digits as “30/34”.

Quote Convention
Exchange rates in the Forex market are expressed using the following format:

Base currency / Quote currency Bid / Ask

Transaction Cost
The critical characteristic of the bid/ask spread is that it is also the transaction cost for a round-turn trade. Round-turn means both a buy (or sell) trade and offsetting sell (or buy) trade of the same size in the same currency pair. In the case of the EUR/USD rate of 1.2812/15, the transaction cost is three pips.

The formula for calculating the transaction cost is:

Transaction cost = Ask Price – Bid Price

Pip
A pip is the smallest unit of price for any currency. Nearly all currency pairs consist of five significant digits and most pairs have the decimal point immediately after the first digit, that is, EUR/USD equals 1.2538. In this instance, a single pip equals the smallest change in the fourth decimal place, that is, 0.0001. Therefore, if the quote currency in any pair is USD, then one pip always equal 1/100 of a cent.

One notable exception is the USD/JPY pair where a pip equals $0.01.

Margin
When you open a new margin account with a Forex broker, you must deposit a minimum amount with that broker. This minimum varies from broker to broker and can be as low as $100 to as high as $100,000.

Each time you execute a new trade, a certain percentage of the account balance in the margin account will be earmarked as the initial margin requirement for the new trade based upon the underlying currency pair, its current price, and the number of units traded (called a lot). The lot size always refer to the base currency.

For example, let's say you open a mini-account which provides a 200:1 margin or .5% margin. Mini-accounts usually trade mini-lots which are $10,000. So if you were to open one mini-lot, instead of having to provide the full $10,000, you would only need $50 ($10,000 x .5 = $50).

Leverage
Leverage is the ratio of the amount used in a transaction to the required security deposit (margin). It is the ability to control large dollar amounts of a security with a relatively small amount of capital. Leveraging varies dramatically with different brokers, ranging from 10:1 to 400:1.

Margin + Leverage = Possible Deadly Combination
Trading currencies on margin lets you increase your buying power. If you have $5,000 cash in a margin account that allows 100:1 leverage, you could purchase up to $500,000 worth of currency because you only have to post one percent of the purchase price as collateral. Another way of saying this is that you have $500,000 in buying power.

With more buying power, you can increase your total return on investment with less cash outlay. But be careful, trading on margin magnifies your profits AND losses.

Margin Call
All traders fear the dreaded margin call. This occurs when your broker notifies you that your margin deposits have fallen below the required minimum level because an open position has moved against you.

Trading on margin can be a profitable investment strategy, but it is important that you take the time to understand the risks. You should make sure you fully understand how your margin account works. Be sure to read the margin agreement between you and your broker. Talk to your broker if you have any questions.

The positions in your account could be partially or totally liquidated should the available margin in your account fall below a predetermined threshold. You may not receive a margin call before your positions are liquidated (the ultimate unexpected birthday gift).

Margin calls can be effectively avoided by monitoring your account balance on a very regular basis and by utilizing stop-loss orders (discussed later) on every open position to limit risk. For ease of use, most online trading platforms automatically calculate the profit and loss your open positions.

Wednesday, November 5, 2008

Stock Market Education & Training

Experienced stock traders & investors recognize that trading certain stocks with momentum is among the fastest & most effective ways to harvest BIG piles of cash in the stock market.

The problem is that if you don't know how to pick among the best hot stocks & how to handle them limiting your risk, you won't even get close to making a few dollars.

You don't necessarily have to trade momentum hot stocks all the time. But you can learn how to take advantage of them when the time is right.

There are many "fantastic" stock systems outhere, but you need to test them in order to discover which ones help you the most. That's part of your homework as a stock trader. Test, test and test again.

Bogus stock trading software programs and complicated day trading systems that rely on a "boat load" of technical analysis indicators can confuse you and make you slow, and being slow when trading stocks can be as dangerous as not knowing what to do in the first place.

The worst thing that can happen to a beginner stock market trader is to get information overload. It's better to go step by step, and test a practical online trading strategy that can show you how to focus on simple ways to make money while picking SOLID hot stock trading opportunities once at a time.

In the end, stock trading is all about buying and selling according to your especific knowledge FILTER. Once you master and follow your proven filter parameters like a clock, you can expect to start making serious amounts of cash on a consistent basis.

Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Tips for big forex gain

Enclosed we are going to give you a simple tip that many forex traders ignore in their pursuit of profits but if you learn it, you will increase your profit potential and enjoy greater currency trading success.

If you want bigger forex profits now then read on.

If you have a forex trading strategy it should have one aim and one aim only –

Making bottom line profits

To do this you need to get catch and hold the big currency trends that offer you the big profits and have the odds heavily in your favour when you enter them – and they don’t come around often.

These trades only come around a few times a year in each currency, so the rule is:

Cut down your trading and bet big on the trades that offer you the most favourable odds.

Where Most Traders Go Wrong!

They make two major errors which are:

1. They equate frequency of trading with profits.
2. They never bet enough to win meaningful amounts or get stopped out to soon before the trade has run its course.

In forex trading you don’t get your reward for how often you trade you get your reward for being right with your trading signals – nothing else.

Forget day trading it doesn’t work and never will - neither will trying to be in the market all the time. In conclusion be highly selective in your trading.

Also, if you do what most traders do and risk small amounts 2 – 10% of your equity you won’t have high risk but you won’t make much either.

To Win Do This

Focus on trading off support and resistance levels that are considered valid by the market - if they break chances are the trend will continue.

Understand this:

Most of the big moves in currency trading, that offer the best risk reward occur from new Market highs - NOT Market lows, so forget trying to buy dips.

Take a Risk

If you don’t like taking risks don’t trade currencies most traders try so hard to avoid risk they create it and guarantee that they will lose.

Don’t place stops to close and trail them SLOWLY – make sure you keep them back behind the market noise and are not stopped out by normal market pullbacks.

If you can’t take dips in open equity, you will never enjoy currency trading success – so get used to them.

Be prepared to risk up to 25% on high odds trades if trading a small account and have the courage of your conviction - if you believe in your forex trading system bet as much as you can afford to.

Trade the Odds Bet meaningful amounts and

Win big – that’s the whole aim of the above tips.

You can use the above tips and make triple digit gains - by trading just a FEW times a year!

You may say, that’s not the advice I normally see or it’s not the norm but personally I wouldn’t worry too much about as:

95% of traders lose and follow conventional advice – the above may not be conventional but if you’re a trader who simply wants to make money, you will understand why it can lead you to currency trading success.

Good luck and good trading

Monday, November 3, 2008

Forex Trading The Ultimate Home Business Opportunity

That's true, you can be a trader at home. Forex, or Foreign Exchange Market is by far the largest financial market in the world. About $2 trillion are traded EVERY DAY. The Forex market is the currency market, where a currency is traded against another. Quick example : you buy a dollar and sell euros. Not that easy to understand. But can we do this from home ? Yes, we can. About ten years ago, you would need millions of dollars to start trading. Now you can start with a few hundreds of dollars.

What you need is your computer and an internet connexion. You can trade from the comfort of your home, without having to deal with any boss or clients. You will only deal with money. Then you can start selling dollars and buying euros and make a profit. You have to find a broker, where you will open an account and funding it. You will also have the possibility to get a demo account and practice, with fake money but in the real time market. I strongly recommend you practice a few months before thinking of "live" trading.

It is not that easy, it is extremely risky if you don't know anything about trading. First rule : don't invest what you can't afford to lose. Forex is not a game, there is a lot of parameters to take in account, and human factor is one of the most important in this business.

You may have already understood it, currencies are traded by pairs. The european Euro versus the US Dollar, The US Dollar versus the Japan Yen, etc. When you buy a currency, you want to sell it later at a higher price. When you sell a currency, you want to buy it later at a lower price. This is how you make profit. Think like you were buying a foreign company share. You always want to buy low, and always want to sell high.

What you are looking to when trading currencies is the exchange rate. This will tell you your next move. Buy or sell. Currencies are part of the economy of each countries. When the value of a currency is increasing, this means the economy is going better as before. The exchange rate can be viewed as the country's economy compared to another economy. This is why economic factors can help you to predict your next move. If you know that a currency will increase, you will buy it and expect to sell it at a higher price, a higher rate.

You can choose the pair you want to trade, but the most people trade the main currencies, Euro, Dollar, British Pound, Japan Yen. And you can only choose to trade one pair only if you want. You are the only person that will make the decision. Hope you are making the good ones, profit can be huge, as well as losses.

Like any business, forex trading has to be taken seriously. Lots of people are trading the forex and some are earning thousands of dollars every day. But it needs a lot of training, education and analysis before reaching such results. It can be the perfect business and actually it is for advanced traders.